%?Moeti?Ncube:?The?datafile?represents?19?years?of?a?cyclical?data?process?with?monthly
%?output?for?month（i）?of?year?y:?output（iy）.?

%The?empirical?means?and?standard?deviations?for?month（i）?are?m（i）?and?s（i）?respectively.?The?correlation?between?month（i）?and?month（i+1）?is?c（i+1）.?
%（Note:?due?to?cyclical?nature?c（i）?is?computed?using?correlation?of?month（12）?and?month（1））

%?The?goal?is?to?simulate?this?process?‘x‘?amount?of?years?into?the?future?so?that?the?data?generated?keeps?the?same?means?standard?deviations?
%for?each?month?as?well?as?the?correlations?between?months.?This?code?constructs?an?ar（1）?process?that?can?be?use?to?replicate?data?of?this?type.?
%It?then?plots?the?historical?and?simulates?estimates?of?the?parameters?for?comparison.


clear?all
load?data.mat

?屬性????????????大小?????日期????時間???名稱
-----------?---------??----------?-----??----
?????文件????????1883??2011-01-06?14:20??cyclicaldata\cyclicalmodel.m
?????文件????????1039??2010-05-14?13:48??cyclicaldata\data.mat
?????文件????????1312??2014-02-12?13:21??license.txt